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China’s actions in the South China Sea are increasingly militaristic. Due to Vietnam’s lack of strong treaty allies, the country is particularly vulnerable compared to its peers. In response to Vietnam’s deteriorating security situation, it is likely to choose one of three strategies: 1) continue the current strategy of hedging between the U.S., China and Russia; 2) ally with the U.S. against China; or 3) develop Vietnam’s military capabilities, including a potential nuclear deterrent.

This picture taken on January 3, 2014 shows the Vietnamese Navy’s first submarine class Kilo 636 (C) named ‘Hanoi’ being released into the sea at Cam Ranh Bay in central Vietnam. The Kilo-636 submarine is the first of six 636 Varshavyanka (kilo)-class submarines run by diesel power purchased from Russia. Vietnam News Agency/AFP/Getty Images

China’s actions against Vietnam’s territory, Vietnam’s strategic response, and the outcome of the interaction, have global consequences. A win by China against Vietnam would intimidate other countries into granting concessions, and embolden China militarily. For this reason, Vietnam’s strategic decisions in the coming years should be of concern to everyone with an interest in international politics.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/anderscorr/2016/08/29/vietnams-three-strategic-options/#6bae31921046